Inside the Report
The Dubai real estate market is demonstrating signs of moderation, recording its first quarterly decline in residential capital values since 2020 amidst regional and seasonal factors. However, the broader market narrative remains one of structural resilience, underpinned by sustained annual growth and robust stability across the commercial and industrial sectors.
- Citywide residential capital values (VPI) reached 229.2 points, registering an 8.9% annual increase despite a 3.8% quarterly correction.
- Villa capital values continued to display long-term resilience with 12.1% annual gains, contrasting with a 3.1% quarterly decline to 306.6 points.
- Prime residential properties demonstrated relative stability, maintaining an 11% year-on-year capital growth trajectory.
- The commercial sector outperformed, with Grade A office capital values surging 27% annually as asking rents reached new highs.
- Off-plan transaction ticket sizes increased by 18.3% annually to AED 3.17 million, reflecting continued capital allocation towards high-end developments.
Who should read this report?
- Institutional investors and family offices requiring a valuation-anchored baseline to navigate quarterly residential market corrections and identify counter-cyclical opportunities.
- Lenders and risk management teams seeking independent, evidence-based metrics on cash versus mortgage transaction volumes to accurately underwrite real estate exposure.
- Real estate developers requiring clear visibility into off-plan absorption rates and projected delivery pipelines to optimise upcoming project launches.
- Multinational corporations and corporate occupiers evaluating severe Grade A office supply constraints to plan strategic leasing and consolidation.
- High-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) and active market participants seeking to validate pricing strategies within transitioning prime villa and apartment segments
What can audience expect from this report?
This comprehensive index equips decision-makers with the empirical clarity required to navigate Dubai's transitioning property cycle in early 2026.
- Benchmark individual residential and commercial assets against authoritative, citywide capital value trajectories to optimise portfolio performance.
- Understand the precise valuation dynamics between stabilising residential rents and accelerating commercial office rates.
- Support complex pricing, acquisition, disposal, and lending decisions backed by an independent, evidence-led valuation framework.
- Track market liquidity through detailed analysis of off-plan registrations, ready home sales volumes, and shifting transaction ticket sizes.
How to Download
Simply click on the download icon above, enter your valid information in the popup and check your email inbox for your report.
