Inside the Report
The Dubai real estate market continues its expansionary trajectory, albeit with residential capital growth momentum easing as the cycle matures. This edition of the ValuStrat Price Index (VPI) provides an independent, valuation-driven assessment of citywide performance, highlighting a persistent divergence between villa and apartment capital values alongside unprecedented off-plan transaction volumes.
- Citywide residential capital values registered a 21.3% annual increase to reach 230.6 VPI points, reflecting a gradual deceleration from previous quarters.
- Villa capital values continued to significantly outperform the wider market, climbing 26.4% year-on-year, compared to a 16.1% annual rise for apartments.
- Off-plan activity reached record highs with over 44,890 registrations, capturing 77% of all residential sales, while ready home transaction volumes contracted by 3.4% annually.
- Residential rental values stabilised on a quarterly basis across all segments, achieving an overall annual growth of 4.7%.
- The commercial sector demonstrated exceptional strength, with the Office Capital Value VPI surging 27.5% annually alongside a 30.9% yearly increase in median asking rents.
Who should read this report?
- Institutional investors and family offices requiring a valuation-anchored baseline to track moderating residential capital growth and identify sustained commercial yield.
- Lenders and risk management teams seeking independent, evidence-based metrics on the AED 23 billion in quarterly mortgage transactions to accurately underwrite real estate exposure.
- Real estate developers requiring clear visibility into record-breaking off-plan absorption rates versus declining secondary market liquidity to strategically time future project launches.
- Multinational corporations and corporate occupiers evaluating Grade A office supply constraints and rising asking rents to plan strategic leasing and consolidation.
- High-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) and active market participants seeking to validate pricing and entry strategies within outperforming prime villa and apartment segments.
What can audience expect from this report?
This comprehensive index equips decision-makers with the empirical clarity required to navigate Dubai's transitioning property cycle.
- Benchmark individual residential and commercial assets against authoritative, citywide capital value trajectories to optimise portfolio performance.
- Understand the precise valuation dynamics between record off-plan momentum and softening ready home liquidity.
- Support complex pricing, acquisition, commercial leasing, and lending decisions backed by an independent, evidence-led valuation framework.
- Track shifting market fundamentals through a detailed analysis of residential supply pipelines, shifting transaction ticket sizes, and stabilising rental values.
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